August 24, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Express | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Warrior | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daneira | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky At Justice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well Maid | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Biz | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Jeans Wildcat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Peppermint Ice | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Golds’way | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Johnny Chadda | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suprise Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Attack | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mister Charming | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Endgame | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boogy Soks | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bank Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Silent Fame | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Al | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeleys Ice | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Offlee Fun | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demand Ransom | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baba Tobi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Token Vow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Snap Dance | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buywon Getwon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Attack | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isabelle’s Joy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paulette | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | House of Cortez | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peppermint Crunch | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crow Moon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mummy Troll | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Intrysting | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McLance | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Portico | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trumpified | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Round Hill | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpha Boy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Contraction | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justenufftuff | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Heir | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Workingforaliving | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Fred | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Al Taweel | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Campioni | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hide the Evidence | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Run Tappy | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roar of the Lion | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speared | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Legacy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yourdecisionotmine | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Landing Gear | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pamir | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Papillon | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forgot to Forget | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kielbasa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Foggy Albion | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bookie’s Blues | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Day | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Dogmen | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Off to the Beach | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Kahn | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | V Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Menlo Park | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Illume | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Musket Hunter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roul the Ice | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.