August 23, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jen’s Battle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deeply Analytical | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stretchthestory | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Freud of Mama | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Single Verse | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Song | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ava K’s Girl | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Desbordes | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unicorn Sally | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lil Morning Star | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moana’s Tale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eli Rocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tales I Winit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bellamy Bigs | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Keypit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rewarded | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waynes Footsteps | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Primo | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Jazz | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Life | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Disguise | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catorat | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Constructor | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Klickitat | 3.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masterprize | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Overland | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kid Is Frosty | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wait a Minute | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Behind the Couch | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Newly Minted | 1.20 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Beauty | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Zip | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Camden | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Three Jokers | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solar Fire | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Austrian | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Grace | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapizearance | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scilly Cay | 2.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hold My Call | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kampai | 12.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Hearted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sir Ludlow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Yaddo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Munchkin Money | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | English Soul | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wegetsdamunnys | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Kreesie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Held Accountable | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belle of the Spa | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Five | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Aubrey | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Out of Orbit | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Red Zinger | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Remstin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bourbon Mission | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Preferred Outcome | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Veterans Beach | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Constant Knight | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Call Me Harry | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Rockin Jo | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brockmoninoff | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bears Mafia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bassman Dave | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time Limit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fierce Lady | 1.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Point | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Italian Rabbi | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wharf Cat | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Q | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Listentoyourheart | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theitalianamerican | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Wrapitup | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky of Hook | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Man | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cleon Jones | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bull of Bayern | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opportunist | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Lime | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Offering Plan | 1.60 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dot Matrix | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Therapist | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Everyonelovesjames | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Maverick | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapt | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoboe | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Albany S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Blindwillie McTell | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Funny Guy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bankit | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Right | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kazmania | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Not That Brady | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Doups Point | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancers for Token | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make Motime | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Vincent | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Happy Giant | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wacky Pal | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Curlin’s Legacy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Millies Party Boy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sobersick N Sorry | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moo Lah | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determined One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Icey Cash | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herecomesthejudge | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ridolfo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Adversary | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.