August 22, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Blue Ruler | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carterslouisianablue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Warlock | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ah Louisiana | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tf High Kick Runaway | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Neesie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sizzlin Loose | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightnin Fast Wagon | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Day | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Im Mighty Fast | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dark Bark | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rakin in the Jax | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tm Dees Shine | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love You Blue | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agoutis Snowplow | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lachule Pyc | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ouachita Special | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rf Sheza Fast Duck | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess a Swinging Star | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Patriot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess an Kickin Idea | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Do U Boo | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellas Best Bet | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Razzgonabegoni | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carry On Curl | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Darlene Shez Flying | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Little Oreo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wattle | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fk Struttin Mama | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Manuel | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Regent | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Gray Patriot | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Above the Bar | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quicks Blue Print | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jcrainaway | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tg Onehondred Stars | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jls Real Cos | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alas Caliente | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cartels Angel | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Corona High | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sista Sara | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pk Fast Kisses | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hez Sizzling | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Da Wire Cartel | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Southern Prize | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Wild Women Will | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Streakin Train B | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Text Me Texas | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jet Blacks Game | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sheza Dashn Warrior | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toast to Jet Black | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tf La Patrona | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jessfiredup | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Train in Vain | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leaving You Special | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Monee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stolis Imperial | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jj Freighttrain B | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boobookitty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scaglietti | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Kool It | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rf Stolionthedelta | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vf Ought to Go Rogue | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Sizzle | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zee Strike | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tlc Sinner | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iona Ec | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Valentine | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Pocket Rocket | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boozin and Cruzin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fixin Too | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pieper | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jrs Natural Runaway | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deisel Freight Train | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Razzatoni | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Non Stop Patriot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Force of Anakin | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Black Design | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Classy Pool | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Eye Opener | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Yacht Dash | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mya Patriot | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaways Attitude | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Lighting | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Renegade | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dee Duck | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Loves It | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southernpatriotlass | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Fancy Doll | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaders Luna Eclipse | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lolo Jones Black | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Tolltac | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Happy Streaker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Apollitical Runaway | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes a Runaway Dash | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Grande Finale | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.