August 22, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swirling | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G Q Covergirl | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dearborn | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Boot Shirley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebarules Again | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cyrielle | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unicorn | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Mischief | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Scatillac | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Lake | 1.60 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carressa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Eclipse | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Staythirstymyamigo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Kisses | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Lifted Up | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bam Bams Lil River | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discrete Stevie B | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shes All Woman | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leroy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Creed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toothless Wonder | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Verynsky | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Rebel | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Torpedo Away | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trapper Peak | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome John | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin B | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lemon King | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fantasy Game | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Bro | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the Sky | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whispering Flame | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blues Rapper | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Descartes | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canyon Crest | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Show It N Moe It | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Qahira | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo See Cal | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Wild Wind | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Radish | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apache Pass | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Indefatigable | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slew South | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Live It Well | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Darling Demon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Put Her On Hold | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concise Advice | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Si Mamacita | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Spanish Channel | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Goddess Aphrodite | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reffine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.