August 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | One for Nicki | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mamita’s Chica | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Georgia Sweets | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | South Beach Sassy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Azteca | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calais Cat | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Compensate | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avie’s Samurai | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Paquita | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossalina | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Diamond | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toy Show | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Airy Fairy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Poem | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quietly Quick | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sadie Irene | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windjammer (GER) | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Look Incredible | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Falcon’s View | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harper P M | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sandretti | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hedeman | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blindsighted | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mizuchi | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Alpha | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shelbourne | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mc Culley | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cardiff Hall | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fahrenheit | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Force | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One More Drift | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Year of the Dragon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Major | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reconfigure | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Forester | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hitters Park | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nashville Knight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumerian Bell | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Rush | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Trouble | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrius | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madison Way | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Subzero Plus | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Figura | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Explosion | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congeniality | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kallan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cheekylicious | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheetahra | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockyroadto Dublin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trickeration | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Klassy Delight | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost a Sock | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Matilda | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take It Easy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Typically | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.