August 19, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | It’s a Trend | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baccarat Honor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Important | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luz Estrella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Likeagirl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causeway Cutie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Talkthetalk | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Kind | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stars Forever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Hickory Made | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bo’s Image | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rimmal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Alice | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucy’s Journey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Social Stranger | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Perfetto | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stand Guard | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luvinmeiseasy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mid Ocean | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theyallcomehome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jovis | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Beau | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ark in the Dark | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Fitzstall | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shackled Romance | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Exchange | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Hearts | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pink Mama | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Count Out | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Lucy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Something Magical | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mast Cove | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polite Pearl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barley Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Heather Hills | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Caught Up in You | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ivanya | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stakes On a Plane | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flippity Flop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evil Woman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Petion Lass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Back to Back | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Footprint | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Solid Golfer | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu in Motion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Store | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Do With Pride | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Asset Allocation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Kimmy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern n’ Sassy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Fantabulous | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Given Achance | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’ Smartiepants | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theresa’s Honor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Picadilly | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.