August 18, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deed’s Legacy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beau’s Beauty | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jazz | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Bad Girl | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Planet | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J M R Bold Vision | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | September Breeze | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dance the Sky Away | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Playing Smart | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stokes | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Echo in the Forest | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Verrazano | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ready and Willing | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Along Dede | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dante’s Blu Grass | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Soaring Free S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Hustle | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cucina | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barilko | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hombrazo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bernotchie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | King Causeway | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunspear | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Artie | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipped Him | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Conquer Him | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me Your Spots | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play On Sterling | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Skipys Legacy | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Path | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | First Crusader | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leo From Heaven | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Bull | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cabertoss | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Warrior | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Ottokar | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nashtrick | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Jimmie | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Vienna | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wandofuhr | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Matters | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Return | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henrytheeighth | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pinky Dude | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Solution | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veloce | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sent From Heaven | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Silver | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theregoesjojo | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Titochip | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Gizmo | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Ticket | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Treasure | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolution | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Piccadilly Beau | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leonard’s Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vedder | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muskoka Son | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tracking Gold | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Like Larry | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Combative | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hey Congrats | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hungary | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp’s River | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Prospect | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muchokova | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shaman Spirit | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Flaming Page S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Luck | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pamina | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Cabinet | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambitious Moon | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacustre (GB) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decorating | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giovanna Blues | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Identity | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Way | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Edition | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saints Marching In | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lauderdale | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Empire | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eboracum | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seal Team Two | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wolf Ridge | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ingordwetrust | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intent to Strike | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Follow My Lead | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nestleton Hush | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | True Dat | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Argentium | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Halo | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | North Battleford | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause of Action | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spirit of York | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.