August 18, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shiraz | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fully Loaded | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keeping the Peace | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Halo | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siena Magic | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bettor Bank On It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Corot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ivy’s College Fund | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clairvoyant Lady | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Served Cold | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riot Worthy | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Cube | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zecha | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Americano Girl | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Shabbos | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sharing | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Make Or Break | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gloriously | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In Good Spirits | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bovary | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inveterate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crack of Dawn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Madita (GER) | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coffee Crush | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pugilist | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapping Pearl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 5 | Hollywood Glory | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | East Moon | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cadeau de Paix | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Love My Honey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Dating Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Palace Avenger | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quantum Computing | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Spirit | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wedontbelieveher | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speed Talks | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chaysenbryn | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shadilee | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanny Go Nanny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Danvers | 1.60 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bird Tycoon | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finite | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Beauty | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abilene Trail | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blossom Bow | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Water White | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melisande | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A Different Style | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Maniacal | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still Krz | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gorgeous Charli | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New York’s Finest | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fear | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Have Another | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Macho Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Jennemily | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Pecan Pattie | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Hit a Provisional | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Righteous Ruby | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cathy Naz | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Miss Loyalty | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Connectivity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Keota | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Star Swept | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Joy of Treasure | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rossellini | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elle’s Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Prize (ARG) | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Wind | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Bread | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tweeting | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alberobello | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skeptic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vexatious | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Incredible Miss | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Take Charge Tina | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Love and Love | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sooner Schooner | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Needs No Ice | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kickin Kimberly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Revenge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alley to Calvary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Moyne Spun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | O’Malley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.