August 17, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Alarm | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lafleur | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just for Rose | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Kitten You | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Treasure | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kyslios’s Justice | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madsam | 10.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Everglow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sevencomingout | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vaughan | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Blind | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s the Gold | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunner Ben | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Cat Sam | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pineda | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foxxy Belle | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Borrowed Angel | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynatown | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Kitty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marcherdowntheally | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moksgmol | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Magic | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready and Perfect | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maritime Breeze | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slydini | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pioneerof New York | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It’s Vengeance | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Angel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choose Hope | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stranded | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intermittent | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mahone Bay | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Bar | 8.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Where’s the Widget | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lapochka | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Riker | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Surgical Strike | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gorgeous Kitten | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Bo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dancing Doll | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ka Gee Gee | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patton’s Girl | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Coal | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fact Checking | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Bling It | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Take the Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Catch A Glimpse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fast Scene | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Eh | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Taffy | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Maiden | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Dancer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Good Witch | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Who’s Got It | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gray Phantom | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Differential | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar George | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Extension | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freitag | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greenfield | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Veil | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burbank Road | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Lace | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killag Katie | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanity | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blurricane | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charmaine’s Mia | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spell | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Flatter | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tone Broke | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Encierro | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Macho Man | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Star | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seguimi | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay for Peace | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucas n’ Lori | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashymeister | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Miss Mo Mentum | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lunar Garden | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Oh Zap | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ladies Night | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Jubilee | 0.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cartabianca (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Now We Are Nine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Brew | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lucky Street | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Uncle Drew | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rapid Fire | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Deputy of Egbert | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Empire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Gideon’s Sword | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Uncle Howard | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Apollo Benfica | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Capture the Ride | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cerrado | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.