August 17, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outofthepark | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rising Perry | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Lover | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Trek | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slippin Jimmy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Hunter | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Bourbon and Ice | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cark | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bay | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Royal Kibosh | 10.00 | 16.3 | 31-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Fernwood Drive | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Start With Yes | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | C C Old Fashioned | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ziggy Mon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cold Sweat | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guilty | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D W Fitz | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Shelby | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bricktop | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scorched by Fire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stickingtogether | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coin Operated | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Luna | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriotic Punch | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe an Omen | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polished Copper | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steady Love | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Wind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Joseph | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fearless Terp | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Copper | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cannon’s Roar | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smile for Eternity | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jammer | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord of Misrule | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daystrike | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Padrino’s Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Me Darlin Kara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Railmaster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bustoff | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Rille | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belial | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hail to Leader | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My T Talk | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Treasure | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justa Scoch | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brushing | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Friend Me Charlie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dendrobia | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Magician Go | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sudden Hope | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Misty On Pointe | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gallanor | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slewzer | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eifs | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blameitonthekiss | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Jazz | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shecor | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Avenue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grace Isabella | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Star De Naskra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Distant Shore | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hall Pass | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where Paradise Lay | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Herman | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thatwouldbegrand | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven On the Rocks | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trifor Gold | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Magician | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Monte Crista | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Sistersledge | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghoul’s Night Out | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrisebernsteini | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annie Boo Boo | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irony of Reality | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Good Roll | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Victory Rally | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Find S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Minister | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belfour | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Dionysus | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Howard | 1.40 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taxable Goods | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonus Points | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Miss Disco S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Introduced | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bunting | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Past Perfect | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Guided | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Oaks Miss | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Enough Time | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hickory Made | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gone Home | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eje Gama | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Treason | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Once in a Lifetime | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bubba Seventy Six | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maryland Bandit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sojourner | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Red | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mabel’s Fable | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Rosie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Controllingthegold | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inflight | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Possebly a Lover | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Estrella | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Better | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.