August 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jeeker Joe | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Overwatch | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Monster | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Will Remember | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Knokke by the Sea | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | German Alberto | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soul Kitten | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wolfpub | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commendable Man | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pulp Factum | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Guess First | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Slammin’ Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scam | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Jet | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phish Fan | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Accent | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Art’s Table | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hierro Colado (VEN) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Particularity | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Youshouldbesolucky | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solar Warming | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasizing | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Fast | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lawyer Drill | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Junior | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bibliotecario | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mozo Bello | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Leonardo | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cades Cove Loop | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Nation U S A | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Live for the Day | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Splash | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bravely Bold | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Taylorsinitiation | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warrior Spirit | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stingslikeabee | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Restart | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leaving Home | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Wade | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beach Resort | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | London Werewolf | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caramel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Grisaceo | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Corazon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Accountant Q | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buffon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Morningstar | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mysterio | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Max | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | W W Handsome | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Homedrill | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Rolling Dude | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gabrielleelizabeth | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liza Star | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isla Road | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paula Andrea | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Trebol (DOM) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Humor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intricately | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gracie’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allez Allez | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Soldat | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Over Maui | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ourhandsomegal | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle Rouser | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tizbud She Wants | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kylesnorthernstar | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Langue Liee | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Jettin Out | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Nanahcub | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Parlay Pete | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chinomadito | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sundown Kid | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Broadway Pete | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Allegedly Perfect | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My G P S | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Capitan Fofo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Heat | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Could Be | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rompin Reid | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Conquers | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot and Heavy | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abbot | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Dow | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good Old Boy | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manhattan Project | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Real Estate Mogul | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Tepuy | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Animal Trick | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Kane | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nominal Dollars | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kinghood | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spa Jazz | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fine Ride | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Il Faraone | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Frank C | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Mac Cool | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Macfadden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moonlit Sea | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anjali | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Nicole | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 12 | Cloudy Day | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beating the Odds | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enduros Tigress | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpilles | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bonsai Benny | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge Kitten | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Bubbly | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victoria’s Smile | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Temple | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gran Diamond | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aurea Aura | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cherorama | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lil B Quick | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Rain | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Belen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waterloo Sunset | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Chaplin | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Angel’s Run | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donder ‘n Blitzen | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wicked Soprano | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shadday | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Becky’s Mission | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flash Petition | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Comin Home | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.