Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2019

August 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jeeker Joe 3.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Overwatch 4.50 6.1 12-1
7 6 Super Monster 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Will Remember 3.50 6.9 13-1
10 9 Knokke by the Sea 8.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 German Alberto 30.00 9.3 18-1
9 8 Soul Kitten 6.00 9.3 18-1
4 3 Wolfpub 10.00 9.6 18-1
6 5 Commendable Man 30.00 9.7 18-1
8 7 Pulp Factum 30.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Treasure Run 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Guess First 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Slammin’ Mike 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scam 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Northern 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Polar Jet 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Phish Fan 3.50 6.1 11-1
1 1 French Accent 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Art’s Table 10.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Hierro Colado (VEN) 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Particularity 15.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Youshouldbesolucky 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Solar Warming 2.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Fantasizing 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Lucky Fast 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Lawyer Drill 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Epic Junior 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Bibliotecario 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Mozo Bello 12.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 King Leonardo 12.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cades Cove Loop 12.00 6.1 11-1
12 11 Nation U S A 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Live for the Day 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Beau Splash 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Bravely Bold 4.50 7.8 15-1
13 12 Taylorsinitiation 15.00 8.4 16-1
7 6 Warrior Spirit 6.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Stingslikeabee 15.00 9.4 18-1
10 9 Restart 10.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Leaving Home 10.00 11.4 22-1
8 7 King Wade 15.00 13.1 25-1
9 8 Beach Resort 20.00 13.2 25-1
14 13 London Werewolf 30.00 13.3 25-1
6 6 Caramel 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Grisaceo 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 El Corazon 10.00 6 11-1
6 5 Accountant Q 6.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Buffon 10.00 7.4 14-1
10 9 Mr. Morningstar 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Mysterio 3.50 7.8 15-1
7 6 Candy Max 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 W W Handsome 10.00 10 19-1
5 4 Homedrill 20.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 High Rolling Dude 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gabrielleelizabeth 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Liza Star 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Isla Road 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Paula Andrea 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Best Trebol (DOM) 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Heaven’s Humor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Intricately 2.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Gracie’s Dream 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Allez Allez 12.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Queen Soldat 4.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Dancingwithjimmieb 3.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Moon Over Maui 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Ourhandsomegal 10.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Rattle Rouser 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Tizbud She Wants 20.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Kylesnorthernstar 10.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Langue Liee 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Jettin Out 1.40 4.3 8-1
6 4 Nanahcub 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Parlay Pete 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Chinomadito 30.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Sundown Kid 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Broadway Pete 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 3 Allegedly Perfect 4.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 My G P S 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Capitan Fofo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Discreet Heat 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Could Be 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Rompin Reid 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Love Conquers 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Hot and Heavy 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Abbot 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 The Dow 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Good Old Boy 3.50 8.7 16-1
9 9 Manhattan Project 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Real Estate Mogul 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Gran Tepuy 30.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Animal Trick 1.80 4.9 9-1
7 7 Doc Kane 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Nominal Dollars 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kinghood 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Spa Jazz 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 One Fine Ride 5.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Il Faraone 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Crazy Frank C 30.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Kid Mac Cool 15.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Mr. Macfadden 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moonlit Sea 4.50 5.8 11-1
10 10 Anjali 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Little Nicole 10.00 6 11-1
16 12 Cloudy Day 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Beating the Odds 1.80 7.3 14-1
4 4 Enduros Tigress 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Alpilles 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Bonsai Benny 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Judge Kitten 12.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Lil Bubbly 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Victoria’s Smile 8.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 My Temple 30.00 12 23-1
12 12 Gran Diamond 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aurea Aura 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cherorama 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lil B Quick 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Rain 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sweet Belen 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 Waterloo Sunset 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Miz Chaplin 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Angel’s Run 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Donder ‘n Blitzen 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Wicked Soprano 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Shadday 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Becky’s Mission 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Flash Petition 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mystic Comin Home 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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