Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2019

August 17, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Route Six Six 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Paladar 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Fawree 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Major Cabbie 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 California Journey 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Tule Fog 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Paid Informant 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Orquidias Biz 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Well Done Sally 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Samurai Charm 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Seahawk Lisa 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Lucia’s Design 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Withyourpermission 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 K P Whirlwind 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eddie Haskell 1.80 1.9 4-1
2 2 Stormy Liberal 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mr Vargas 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Undrafted 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Calexman 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Shades of Victory 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Brownstone 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Clem Labine 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Oliver 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Swiss Minister 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Satanta 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Brimstoned 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mr Dejavu 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Executive Cat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 9 Mo Forza 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Parsimony 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Mo Reserve 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Farquhar 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Never Easy 15.00 6.4 12-1
13 10 Chewing Gum 5.00 6.5 12-1
14 11 Camps Bay 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Ghost Street 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Fivestar Lynch (IRE) 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 8 Lambeau 15.00 8 15-1
8 6 Rapport 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Silenced 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fay Dan 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bronn 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Hydrogen 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ginobili 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Special Day 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tizamagician 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Royal Thunder 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Taishan 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Smooth Like Strait 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Fredericktown 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Honor A. P. 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Railsplitter 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Impossible Task 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Marckie’s Water 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Itsinthepost (FR) 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 The Great Day (ARG) 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ritzy A. P. 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Acclimate 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Blended Citizen 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 United 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Arizona Moon 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Torrey Pines S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fighting Mad 2.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Sneaking Out 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Into Chocolate 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 High Regard 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Hollywood Hills 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Classic Fit 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Kim K 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Colonial Creed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By The Jockey Club

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lady Prancealot (IRE) 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Mucho Unusual 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cambier Parc 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Keeper Ofthe Stars 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Raymundos Secret 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Dogtag 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Maxim Rate 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Apache Princess 10.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Out of Balance 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Hard Legacy 12.00 8.6 16-1
14 14 Hidden Message 8.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Sold It 30.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Wildlife 30.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Strike At Dawn 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – $1 Million Tvg Pacific Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Seeking the Soul 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Quip 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Pavel 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Draft Pick 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Campaign 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Higher Power 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tenfold 8.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 War Story 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 For the Top (ARG) 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Mongolian Groom 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lucky Peridot 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 An Eddie Surprise 6.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 Super Patriot 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Salsa Bella (FR) 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ruby Trust 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bornonvalentineday 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Betty F (GB) 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Woodfin 10.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Querelle 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 True To Herself (IRE) 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Invincibella (GB) 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Sapphire Kid 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Peter’s Kitten 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Desert Oasis (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.