August 17, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Route Six Six | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paladar | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fawree | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Cabbie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Journey | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tule Fog | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paid Informant | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orquidias Biz | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Well Done Sally | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Charm | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seahawk Lisa | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucia’s Design | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Withyourpermission | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K P Whirlwind | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eddie Haskell | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Liberal | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Vargas | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undrafted | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calexman | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shades of Victory | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Brownstone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clem Labine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oliver | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Minister | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Satanta | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brimstoned | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Dejavu | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Mo Forza | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Parsimony | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo Reserve | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Farquhar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Never Easy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Chewing Gum | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Camps Bay | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghost Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lambeau | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rapport | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silenced | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fay Dan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bronn | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hydrogen | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ginobili | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Day | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizamagician | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Thunder | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taishan | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Like Strait | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fredericktown | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor A. P. | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Railsplitter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Impossible Task | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marckie’s Water | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Day (ARG) | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ritzy A. P. | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acclimate | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blended Citizen | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | United | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arizona Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Torrey Pines S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fighting Mad | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaking Out | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Chocolate | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Regard | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Hills | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Fit | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kim K | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Creed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By The Jockey Club
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mucho Unusual | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cambier Parc | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raymundos Secret | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dogtag | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Rate | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apache Princess | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Out of Balance | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Legacy | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hidden Message | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sold It | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wildlife | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike At Dawn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – $1 Million Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seeking the Soul | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quip | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pavel | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Draft Pick | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Campaign | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Power | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tenfold | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Story | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For the Top (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Groom | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Peridot | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | An Eddie Surprise | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Super Patriot | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Trust | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bornonvalentineday | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty F (GB) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodfin | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Querelle | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True To Herself (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invincibella (GB) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Peter’s Kitten | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.