August 16, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Destiny | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Retreat | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Metadata | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Marc Andre | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Derek | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Retreat | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prized River | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earthquakedirector | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ethanol | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tobruk | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diddley | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Forum | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colleen’s Sailor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phil in the Blank | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jurojin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nupogodi | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Slip Kid | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decorated Soldier | 1.40 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love That Lute | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R U Watchingbud | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Fly Over | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Eliminatr | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grom | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scat Big Dad | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zoomer Music | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bens Last Call | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chilling Secret | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Blaze | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miriam’s Sky | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hard Luck Charlie | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Run With It | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Like Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Darren’s Fortune | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stash the Cash | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Worker | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winsroy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triglav | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boomba Brad | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watch This | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danzigity | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Flag | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sportscaster | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Admirals Cove | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Talks | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Passage | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party At Eight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Other Breeze | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You’re Batman | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | World of Prospects | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cordero (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cape Romance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Strike Revenge | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frobisher Bay | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vividari | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fritzie’s Boy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Big Classic | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Bitethebulletbro | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockbarton | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Seamus | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poquito Bandito | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Meant to Tell You | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lillz Not Crying | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinlee’s Song | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lauderdale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eboracum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.