August 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Junipero Avenue | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizcreetly | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasize | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Society | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jericho Marsh | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merry Merry Mojo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | America’s Prince | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Walk | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bella Aurora | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Magical Anna | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Roving Kind | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luck Money | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amarin | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortuna | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indehere | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3B | 3 | Midship Lady | 10.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 4B | 4 | More Or Less | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Maybe an Omen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Mun | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Orient Point | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Flattered | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Overture | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luv the Painter | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Artful Splatter | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jabuticaba | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Lucy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ravenel | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Janelle Dreams | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lulu’s On the Move | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arbutus | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Congrats Graduate | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life in Flash | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manhattan Lady | 50.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Contessa | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nosey Josy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Eppur Si Muove | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stand My Ground | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alibi Breakfast | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Junior Senator | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Mormon Mauler | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Seville | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kamehameha | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auld Lange Syne | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aladdin Sane | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drill Ur Skills | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Drake | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roof Top Bar | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abuelo Paps | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Courageous | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invitation Only | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Macho | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Aspen | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anna’s Bandit | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Reason | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Take the Cake | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trace of Grace | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Squan’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mia Gift | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Old Line Magic | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Height of Thestorm | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo of Victory | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enyo | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hanky Panky | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Megalomania | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whispurring Kitten | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Social | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kickstartmyheart | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summering | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kailee (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vortex Road | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Fun Again | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Believe Indeed | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shes a True Beauty | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monkeys Uncle | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not in Jeopardy | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Innocent | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tex Mee a Kiss | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Virginia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Down in the Holler | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Lion | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Games | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chocomount | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Doctor | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jeddo | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Multiply | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.