August 16, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Train | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess a Moon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rbdtopprospect | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Ocean Breeze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vals Royal Rose | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dlj Papa Henderson | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jessys Jet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blood Drive | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jla Grand Baby Shake | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jf American Babe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nl Rebs Special Doc | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coronas Going by You | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dyslexic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golding Boy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Srf Stash a Lil Cash | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Famous Deoh | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toast the Game | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silence Ta Dash | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play It Again Shiney | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marks Women Will | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wupkar | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jbj Micah Jordan | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Guy Kisses | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cosino Quick | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Running for Coronas | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Igotyourstreak | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasy N a Bottle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Askin for Greatness | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tm Candy Maker | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rm First Down Pride | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shawee | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cecala | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dashing Diva | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Agouti Dash | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run for Us Run | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fastdown | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Showed Ya | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three R Zoomin | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Ojo | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingslayer | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dashn for Moonlight | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lrh Mojo Rising | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shonuff Mvp | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heisasgoodasheis | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Nother Zoobilee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lrh Jet Black | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tempting Goinbye | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diamondinthefront | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jess Runawaytogether | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Openup the Bar | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Rebs Lil Runaway | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private First Prize | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaving in a Rush | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Embrujo Mountain | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jla Live Action | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Jessy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hez Fast Yall | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosies Corona | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gentilly Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Cazador | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Tee Cos Jr | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Leaving Fast | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast N Famous Eagle | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunna Be Alright | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Prize | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess a Boy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vallerro | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Fast Ram | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lil Biscuit | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Game Chick | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue One | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fastdashing Lassie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Im for Real | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Google Chrome B | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High and Caliente | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monees Fast Cash | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flamin Hot Fortune | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Prize | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Treme S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jets Fast Dash | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rf Fast Dash N Blue | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soft On the Coronas | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Made Man | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Achievopiloto | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Igottarampage | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Range Rover | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guidry Pride II | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Overtime | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rogue One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jf Sizzlin Feature | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming West | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Intriguing Blue | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Achievement B | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dracarys | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apollitical B Snow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bg Patriot | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Lookin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maganomics | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.