Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2019

August 15, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frozen Hannah 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Amazing Audrey 1.20 4.7 9-1
4 4 Bareeqa 3.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Pure Praise 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Princess Victoria 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Lady Love 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Puparee 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 British Idiom 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Ain’t None Lucky 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Tetrahydro 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Miraculousblessing 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Talk You Out of It 3.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Esther’s Fortune 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Surprise Arrival 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Miss Marissa 8.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Little Farina 10.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Cherokee Song 20.00 11 21-1
11 11 Speed Talks 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wicked Amber 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Raggedy Annie 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Brooklyn Heights 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No Dozing 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Uncontested 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Plainsman 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lenstar 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tale of Silence 2.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Mr Thrifty 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Relentless Dancer 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mystic Lancelot 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Croi Mor 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Aye Aye Sir 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Pharoah Cat 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Art Collector 5.00 6.9 13-1
1A 1 Buy Land and See 6.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Katama Bay 10.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Happy Danza 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Proven Strategies 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Now Is 8.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Get Set 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Instinctive Rhythm 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sneakiness 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Teachable Moment 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Borough Boy 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Cobble Hill 4.50 6.1 12-1
7 7 Swick 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Fireball Jon 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Monmouth Dr 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Majestic West 8.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Cavaradossi 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Dealin’ Stelen 20.00 11.7 22-1
9 9 Muntahez 20.00 13.1 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Dull Knife 1.80 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mo Zone 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Saratoga Colonel 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 My Amanjena 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Phone Funky Munky 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 False Info 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Days of Glory 12.00 9.5 18-1
10 9 Shiny Copper Penny 30.00 9.7 18-1
12 11 Southern Brigade 5.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Scrutinize 20.00 12.2 23-1
9 8 Time Expired 30.00 12.7 24-1
8 8 Lucky Bet 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Hollywood Cat 2.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Andarta 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Beaux Arts 3.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 Silencia 4.50 7.8 15-1
5 4 Cirque 12.00 8.7 16-1
6 5 Birthday Gift 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 3 Tzipi 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 2 My First Gal 20.00 10.6 20-1
11A 9 Andretta 3.50 19.7 37-1
2 2 Trouble for Skylar 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Saloon Girl 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Cash Offer 2.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Cathy Naz 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Union Avenue S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Holiday Disguise 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Fair Regis 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Carrera Cat 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Baby Boss 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bonita Bianca 4.50 5.9 11-1
8 6 Jc’s Shooting Star 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Pauseforthecause 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flat Calm 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Crescent Lady 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Kerry’s Ring 2.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cape Cod Diva 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sterling Beauty 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Petalite 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Double Happiness 8.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Belleza 10.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Sandra’s Mine 12.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Two Cent Tootsie 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Marquet Legacy 8.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Dancing Slippers 20.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Mickey Diamond 30.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Tax Me Naught 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Paradiso 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tatterazzi 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Nasty Affair 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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