Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2019

August 15, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shyza 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Wonder City 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bernadette the Jet 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ilchester Cheetah 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Meet Michelle 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Moravian Prayer 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fashion Rules 5.00 9 17-1
4 4 Summer Kiss 15.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shackforlove 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sugar B Babsnboots 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Silver Sides 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Weltha 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lunetta 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 My Lily Rose 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Lovely Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Three to Get Ready 4.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Tashmoo 8.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Bet Her Later 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roses for Ruby 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Firth 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Nana’s Shoes 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Liberale (FR) 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Close the Deal 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Carolina Ice 5.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 French Nouget 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Jumpstartmyheart 8.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Dah Philly 12.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Move Over Honey 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Still Processing 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pigeon Creek 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Instinctive 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Clover Bottom 3.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 La Silueta 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Ohhowilovetheraces 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Expect Talk 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Sweet Sanibel 8.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Tricky Rose 30.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Now Or Ever 30.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Keepupthemessage 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Southern Piper 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fifth Avenue Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 One Smart Caller 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Landing Zone 1.20 1.6 3-1
4 4 Olive’s Bumpa 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Truly Red 4.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Khalos Vision 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Bria and Gigi 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Baby Bam Bam 10.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Ohio Storm 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 My Lila 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Glittering Judy 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Why Now 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Rockstar Girl 15.00 6 11-1
11 11 Classy Atlantic 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Queen of Schmooze 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Alexa Rose 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Ebullient 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Little Skiff 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Hot Friesia 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Barbsgray Lion 30.00 11 21-1
2 2 Introduced 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Blameitonthekiss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Is for Artist 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Make Us Smile 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Creative Plan 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Muchmorethanthis 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Golden Gary 3.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Benny Havens 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Really Felix 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Degas 6.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 One Crazy Ride 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Two Putt 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Top Czar 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Junction 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Drive At Nite 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Spartiatis 1.80 6.2 12-1
11 11 Cash Exchange 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 One Proud Wildcat 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Fifties Music 30.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Sound Off 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Collin’s Smile 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Hurler 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Swing Step 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dixie Drawl 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 I’ve Gotta Plan 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Makes Mo Cents 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Jimmy Idontknowya 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Frathouse Music 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Native Flora 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 To Be Or Not to Be 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Hyperlapse (IRE) 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Fo’c’sle 30.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Mead Avenue 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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