August 14, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Deckology | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Istain Man | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Heraclitus | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Little Cents | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Shootin Money | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Yha Yha | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Way Cool | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Four O’Five | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Adulting | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Chirp | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Taylor Gals | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Sweet Bluegrass | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Shesaidshesperfect | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Destiny’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Vidalia | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Sheer Flattery | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Bellerin | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Rocko’s Wheel | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Start a Runnin | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Dukes Up | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Fire When Ready | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Bitter Ring Home | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 7 | Flying to the Line | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Heathers Grey | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 8 | Equal Measure | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Breezy Bee | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Smiling Rose | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 6 | Kittyhawk Lass | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Magnificent Q T | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Trust Fund Kitty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Afternoon Heat | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Etterbay Ucklay | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Calder Vale | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Atomic Candy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Anniversary Sale | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tim’s Buddy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Brazilian Summer | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Travieza | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Gypsy Blu | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Just Grazed Me | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Storming Lady | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Uno Trouble Maker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Littlefirefighter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Holly Hundy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Querida Dubai (ARG) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sold It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Kentan Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Papa Turf | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mister Mojo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | An Ocala Ten | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Boy Howdy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Nova | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
11 | 11 | Market Sentiment | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Westmont | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Johann’s Command | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Royal Seeker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Aberdeen Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Incensed | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.