Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 11, 2019

August 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adabel 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Lilibet 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Express Banking 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Souper Pecan 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Clairessence 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Cassie’s Rainbow 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Storm Gauge 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bayou Belle 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Victorian Moon 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dad’s Missy 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Wine Not Bourbon 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tuscan Damsel 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Macho Mama 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Vana Grand 3.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trinity Thundah 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Victory Given 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ringdana 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Storm Chart 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 White Drill 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 The Devils Back 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Baddest Blues 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Hug Me Wendy 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Seifert 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Town Cruise 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 In View 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Captain Handsome 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Society’s Tiger 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Meet Cute 3.50 7.6 14-1
10 10 Krachenwagen 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Bitethebulletbro 10.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Bala Falls 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Fullthrottle Kid 50.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Skynyrd 15.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Legal Gump 8.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zoological 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Fantastic Breeze 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Muskoka Storm 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Scocciatore 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bel Bimbo 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Too Hot 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Green Growth 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Ice Blue 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Perfect Revenge 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Disclosure 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Optimystical 2.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 A Song for Artie 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Flo’s Syd 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Call Me Mrs. G 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Polydeuces 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 White Wedding 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Tall Water 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Dunes of Namibia 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Big Matteo 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Bob W. 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Bear At Last 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Pugsley 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Willy’s Castle 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 4 Chris’ Brew 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 7 Decision Day 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Thunder Point 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Gizmo Jones 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 5 Cat Zapper 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Victor’s Flag 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Spanish River 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Party At Eight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Odds Get Even 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lakeside Park 5.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Google It 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Orazio 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Professor Tally 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Daddyplaystheblues 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Dry Land 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Valuable Pillow 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Frat Party 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Dancers Ghost 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Red Astaire 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Seagram Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Havercamp 1.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Are You Kidding Me 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mr Ritz (GB) 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Special Forces 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Florida Won 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Revved Up 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Rose’s Vision 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Thor’s Rocket 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Guru 3.50 1.9 3-1
5 5 He’s Bankable 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hold’emforransom 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Black Sea (FR) 2.50 4 7-1
6 6 Woodbridge 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Malibu Uproar 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Spring 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Noble Hope 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Deep Freeze 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Courtly Manner 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Canmore 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Viewfinder 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Flight Deck 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Colonel Talbot 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Coleyville 20.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Macho Dancer 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Western Crusader 20.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.