August 9, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sir Orinoco | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whenthedovescry | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daily News | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Lion | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jammer | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Celebration (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Belmullet | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cast the Lot | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bucked Tooth | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Royal | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unlikely | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prospect for Gold | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caneel Bay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Royal Kibosh | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Twin Valor | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Free to Trump | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sebray | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Southern Barbecue | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greek God | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Mythos | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Chief Tarhe | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don Camillo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Divine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polished | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adult in the Room | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Music Maker | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annie Boo Boo | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Jewel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Three Hawk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Forever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Comfy and Cozy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shane’s Jewel | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won and Done | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tattooed | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taco Supream | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome D J | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cerulean Springs | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Align the Numbers | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | High Noon Rider | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ekhtibaar | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s One Wild Dude | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papal Law | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dothat Dance | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nigel’s Destiny | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legend’s Hope | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kosher Kontract | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand River | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onarock | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time Flies By | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Treasure | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Railmaster | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Padrino’s Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easter Vigil | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quit Your Moanin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Wild Bill | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr McGinty | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once More Eh | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quickhatch | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lights On | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Trips | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Mason Factor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Front Line Paige | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Jeter | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Bridge | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Electro | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beltway Bob | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uhwarrie Sky | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Order | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.