August 9, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Luck | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Creep | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Long Sailor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trapper Peak | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zakaroff | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palladium | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Humor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fantasy Heat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marilyn’s Smile | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shylock Eddie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ismelucky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Dunn | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brahms Command | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pied N True | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cabin John | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear the Mine | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Like Rhett | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Man | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Rule | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Implicitly | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muchos Besos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lofty | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eye On Tiger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shez a Grinder | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Calese | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ice Angel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Very Boisterous | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Way too Cute | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Phoenix Tears | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bandon Colleen | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Johnnie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Billy’sgotasingle | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Going to Shabooms | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Secret Square | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Flying Business | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Seeking Refuge | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boru | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speakerofthehouse | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salah | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Papa Joe | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spectator’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rightful | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Camps Bay | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rickey B | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Nights | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Principe Carlo | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silken Prince | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Belong to Becky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loud Mouth | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifteen to Vegas | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scouted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Sell | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pulpit Rider | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo See Cal | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lynne’s Legacy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fiery Lady | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Kisses | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A Walk in the Park | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Battleground State | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Donut Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Sneaking Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Image | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Valor | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinetic Strike | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | White Russian | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Parker | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Severin | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Engineer | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contratto | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bound to Go | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muscle Head | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.