August 8, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Stranger | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfetto | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now We Are Free | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salutation | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J R Jellybean | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | To the Victor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dazzle Me | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tidy Stripe | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Petipa | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | There Goes My Girl | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Misdriven | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Justenuff Hope | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Bonnet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tilaka | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farcical | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Dawn | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Better | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My New Venezuela | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florencia | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Electrica | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Backyard Fun | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whateverusaydear | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rose of Dublin | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | If You Only Knew | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Great Cookie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Darlindiva | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Furiosa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shrew Meaning | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Community Watch | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Words of a Feather | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colloquium | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Jumpinanda Jivin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Metro Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Warbucks | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soft Landing | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monaco Princess | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Costa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foggy Dreams | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vampish | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Resolana | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Bay Express | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Monkey Mind | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Sunset | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pebble Road | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Laa Di Da | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Breanna | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lion and the Wolf | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tom Tom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Paz the Wine | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Glory | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Esterina | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Treble in Paradise | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Nekia | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greta Greta Boo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gifted Path | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Naughty Girl | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoochin Candy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Math | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Estrella Guia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.