August 8, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Into Rissa | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Megan | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takethediamondlane | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember to Smile | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sothalis | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jan Jan Can | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Dime for Me | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Annie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Dharma | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playa Chica | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blew by You | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zillinda | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Cotton | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Denman’s Call | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Best Two Minutes | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weast Hill | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mo Dinero | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monydontspenitself | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tough But Nice | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fredrikstad | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Master Ryan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cunning Munnings | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spendaholic | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tribals Last Reign | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zipper Mischief | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northrndancrsghost | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nil Phet | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amped | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jetovator | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ziyanair | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aced | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emtech | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satrapa | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Outlaw | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street to Indy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saltarin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Belong to Becky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sea’s Journey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zestful | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Builder | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zeke | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play Hard to Get | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zuzanna | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zip the Monkey | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune of War (GB) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Akuba | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senora Power | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kuda Huraa | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shallow | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Alibi | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Sunset | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Solar Nova | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Small Surprise | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.