August 4, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outofthepark | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the W | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stand My Ground | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Vision | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Compromiso | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rising Perry | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fernwood Drive | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Cadey | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bucks Vow | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aim for the Stars | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Life Cider | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Awesome | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior Queen | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windy City Kitty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diva of Seville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jefazo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absolved | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crouchelli | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Edict | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumson Rally | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avocado | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Cadillac | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trois Ponts | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icantrumpthat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Thoughts | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barton Hall | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simmard Shenanigan | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fairy Wish | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Varanasi | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Virginia | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodonehoney | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatrattleandroll | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aikenetta | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Diva | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Innocent | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vindictive Ways | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Excess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bearsatlanticmist | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Bluegrass | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feelin Foxie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Magician Go | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Princess | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen of Schmooze | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sudden Hope | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Aja Brown | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Craigie | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billyscrystalball | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Force the Pass | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Minister | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Archaggelos | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunnison | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | John Jones | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Phlash Phelps | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Not Curly | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chocomount | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outvoted | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Warrior | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Games | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.