August 4, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curioso | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dardanellos | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Fortune | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Luna | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Exception | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knokke by the Sea | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slammin’ Mike | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elite Appeal | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tina | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Nelly | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curlita | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shifty She | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And I Know | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Kimberly S | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chirping | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant’s Voice | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Il Faraone | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamy Martini | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takedown | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Itsmyluckysummer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Enough | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuzzy Kitten | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dia Sorpresa | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rawlins | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Resort | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Queretano | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Company Store | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeroed In | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danzar | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fritzen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noon Time Gem | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Run | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Dynamic Dancer | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shidoshi | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Happy Hat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mister Sense | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Step Alpha | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ed’s Dog | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Dewey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tide of the Desert | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arpinella | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Filly Jean King | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auburn | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsenough | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leishlanick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vickythebest | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astromelia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anothersongndance | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Masterpiece | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Caruca | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courtesy Notice | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Princess | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Game | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Si Te Vas | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sonoma Storm | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dubaian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Much About It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Elissas Secret | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R U Lucky | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henry’s World | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plato | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain D | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shakem N Breakem | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don H | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dohko | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Lisa Mila | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enduros Tigress | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anjali | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Paradise | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brownstoneprincess | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lil Bubbly | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treasured Info | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloudy Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gran Diamond | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heidi Ho | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hot Fudge Honey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Florida Cotton | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barry Karafin Bets | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nacho Papa | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fortunate Friends | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Combination | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rack Gin | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Didnt Do It | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reservenotattained | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hire the Lady | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Anumati | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Enoughandthensome | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Judge Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Intricately | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballie’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Kindred Soul | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jophiel | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twitch Again | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Winning Rate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Peggy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Langue Liee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Arbolada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.