August 4, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bunny Yogurt | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Factor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | And Counting | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Klaus | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Lonna At the Top | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuega | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boa Nova (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toothless Wonder | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First in Show | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juggles | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled’s Skye | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verynsky | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gobsmack | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papaclem’smidnight | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wishful | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Annie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Wysong | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ciao Luna | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Early’s Kid | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quit Kvetching | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Bam Bam Bryan | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gabo’s Macondo | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lifeline | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invasion Looming | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bird Is the Word | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Offshore | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Playing Through | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Plum Dandy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fabozzi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Eight Rings | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shooters Shoot | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Phast Pharoah | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Next Revolt | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Express Train | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Can’tbetemall | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flash of Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Western Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rafal | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Landeskog | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Distinctive B | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Morgan S. | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heartfullofstars | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grinning Tiger | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jack Van Berg | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Getaloadofthis | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy Cornell | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shane Zain | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Camby | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Trump | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Krsto Skye | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stubbins | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neptune’s Storm | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jasikan (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingly | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Birthday | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rijeka (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of Speed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Storm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vermeer | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Sammy Go | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Wally | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon and Water | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Class | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passing | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wilt | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Cat Canyon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L’Aquila | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imagineiamfastest | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.