August 3, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Brewmeister | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chimney Rock | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Policy Option | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eternal Summer | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Prospector | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | U S Army Corps | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lido Legacy | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shamrocket | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Country | 6.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forza Di Oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ox Bridge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Rock Says | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proschema | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Wise | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hersh | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Felix in Fabula | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Sigh | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verve’s Humor | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tikhvin Flew | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Extreme Force | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Cross | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wayne O | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fishman | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glory Road | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atoka | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amends | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dubai Bobby | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Ill Defend | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Height | 10.00 | 20 | 38-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Sprawl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hay Dakota | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Siding Spring | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Applicator | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Way | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Drive | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coltandmississippi | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Local Hero | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hieroglyphics | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Blenheim | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Krewe Chief | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Champagne | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mad Munnys | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Yes I See | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Take Your Place | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pure Sensation | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rocket Heat | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wet Your Whistle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leinster | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Disco Partner | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World of Trouble | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dinar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Westport | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Somes Sound | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Up and Onward | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Free Enterprise | 3.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Going for Gold | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muchacho | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ekati’s Verve | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | En Wye Cee | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mubarmaj | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Picasso | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take Pride | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Voodoo Song | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ticonderoga | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Projected (GB) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Indy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucullan | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Say the Word | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sacred Life (FR) | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Control Group | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gidu (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Longines Test S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bellafina | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Covfefe | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serengeti Empress | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trenchtown Cat | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Please Flatter Me | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Charlotte | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeltrin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | McKinzie | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Preservationist | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vino Rosso | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monongahela | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yoshida (JPN) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forewarned | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperative | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Snow (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Divine Miss Grey | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Got Stormy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Isle | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Stella di Camelot (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Rock my Love (GER) | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn the Destroyer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Munnings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Hardcandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zonza (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pacific Wind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dynatail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alberobello | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Free Kitty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Red Zinger | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fled | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elenzee | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remstin | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Veterans Beach | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brockmoninoff | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Mission | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Three Outlaws | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack the Cat | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ziller | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.