August 3, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eclair | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greg’s Diva | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lazy Daisy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Included | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bristol Bayou | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Smartee | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatsittoya | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Curtain | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polity | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain N. Barron | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Fallbrook | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Giorgio | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Angelo | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Violence | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legends of War | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskimo Roses | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eagle Song (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Psycho Dar | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sneem (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fly the Sky | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Blue | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eustace | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riding With Dino | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Boy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Chapin | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five O | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amalfi Sunrise | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comical | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shedaresthedevil | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powerfulattraction | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Keely | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Castle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dom the Bomb | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eric the Trojan | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Ming | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Regal Born | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Creed | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Cha Cha | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Comedy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gutsy Ruler | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Restless Rambler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Second Avenue | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dunbow Road | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Virginia Hall | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolinga | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goddess Aphrodite | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My S V R | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durga | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avalon Ride | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vasilika | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valedictorian | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Hill | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemoona | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youngest Daughter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Causeforcommotion | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Toinette | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dancin in Paradise | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boujie Girl | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madame Vestal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tijori | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dreamy Gal | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moreisbetter | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Give Me a Hint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes All Woman | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rather Nosy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Message | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Validity | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitha Bonita | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Day by Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dulverton Darling | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Equal Measure | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sapori Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boldest Vow | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Island | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coldwater | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy’s Melody | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calentita (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flying Blue | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katsaros | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zucchera | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.