August 2, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Odie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Haze | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justice of War | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Get That | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Boss | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellas Ghost | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smidge | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cool as You Like | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cover Photo | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mazmania | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Promise Me Roses | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flippity Flop | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imincomunicado | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stuy Town Baby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Good Credence | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canarsie Angel | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Sassy Sarah | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light in the Sky | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Wall Eye | 8.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Tokyo Bay | 8.00 | 17 | 32-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cake | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Graphite Dutchess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Astarte Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macagone | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Minsky Moment | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Way Early | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Should Talk | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Massena | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Appealing Briefs | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ides of Arch | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Leaveematthegate | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Prophet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shamrock Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Manifest Destiny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chief Know It All | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halloween Horror | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enduring Honor | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond the Green | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Monkey’s Medal | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scatoga | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River of Dreams | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Asset | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Herecomesyourman | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bemma’s Boy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soulmate | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Justin | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bootlegger (FR) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ego | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Green Mo’ster | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Global Access | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Bee | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Award Winner | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Colony | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casa Creed | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Limonite | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sombeyay | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp Rat | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Alydar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s d’Etat | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backyard Heaven | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candygram | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | You’re to Blame | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tour de Force | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wooderson | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carlino | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Brown | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Happen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coral Beach (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Concrete Rose | 0.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelsey’s Cross | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olendon (FR) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Her Royal Highness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Mrs. Orb | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Recess | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Big Expense | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katook | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Report to the Rail | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Handle With Care | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fika | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crater Rim | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Waters | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarallucci | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Farcical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.