August 2, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Brilliant Richie | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mason Dixon | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ooh La La Whalah | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Poppy’s C Note | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dieci | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Wicket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Carters Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Y Not Sizzle | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spanish Channel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Bunny | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magical Smile | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Too Hot for Curlin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Evening Sonnet | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forty Six Carats | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash for Cass | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atina (ARG) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Norwegian | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meso | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greater Glory | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Omnipotent | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Moments | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wildman Jack | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truck Salesman | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castle Gate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chewing Gum | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snappish (GB) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlito | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Adare | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Challah | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tilted Towers | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silenced | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lincoln City | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Northrndancrsghost | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clear to Close | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You’reright Again | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knifes Edge | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deckology | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Color War | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eustace | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Magically Honored | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mirth | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxtail | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Peintour | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meal Ticket | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Achira | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catoca | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morning Dance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nonna Gianna (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anna Pavlova (SAF) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fool’s Paradise | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Returns | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pas de Panique | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Faith | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Empire | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bam Bam Again | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Square Deal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Darnquick | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Project Leader | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bulletproof One | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fast Enough | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doc Tommy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Club Aspen | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pour On the Cole | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Totally Tiger | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Include the Tax | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Impact | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Fire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Cat | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cal’s Gem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jay Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.