August 1, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vander Kelen | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | An Ocala Ten | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Tony | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Famous Rock Star | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taste’s Legend | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Rebel | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Satori | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin B | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | G Q Covergirl | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swirling | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Policy | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tizanillusion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Point Hope (IRE) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | South Boot Shirley | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Holy Mosey | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven Squared | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rebarules Again | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Song of the Night | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scarlet | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunriser | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Lake | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loving Moment | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pink Scatillac | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Full Eclipse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Khairiya | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Romance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sophie Antoinette | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Rose | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’tatway | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muthhila (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Graces (GB) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gorgeous in Grey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Time for Suzzie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Tiger | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hopscotchy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bam Bams Lil River | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Staythirstymyamigo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Kisses | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Tea All Shade | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bennet | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twentytwentyvision | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red King | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trojan Spirit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ground Attack | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Buzz | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unapologetic | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Anthem | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Archana | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Flirt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Desire | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Brite Eye | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solarium | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Can Partie | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Info’s Treasure | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hilltop Harmony | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.