July 31, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Now We Are Free | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mambo At the Gym | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Recanted | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Butch Cassidy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Leo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Rocket | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Truly Red | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hufflepuff | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Playland | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Along Came Betty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Be Bop a Lola | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gray Haze | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | My Sister’s Keeper | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | English Heiress | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Flirtation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hickory Made | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zippy Jo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Lucky Heart | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sterling Ariel | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forbidden Frolic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fact of War | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brighton Lane | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donji | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Is Your Name | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zitman | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Koa | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Unaquoi | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Band of Angels | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Proud Mandate | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Racinginthestreet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Conjecture | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tschetter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silver Slivers | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mast Cove | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Barley Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Love | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ox Bro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Etruscan | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charging Lion | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayne’s Fever | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Strip | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Douglas | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Sight | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Hat City | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Top Fleet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lacrostix | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dilutem | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Big Guy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apollo Eleven | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarty Mr D | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soft Landing | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Thurman Merman | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | His Name Is Sue | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dupree | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Halfback | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Irish Colonel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Odds On | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of E Dubai | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Lenny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.