July 31, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vangogo | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tandalicious | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bellazano | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Much Happy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Lady | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Gucci | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thought I’dmissyou | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buyback | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shesaidshesperfect | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Reserve | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Street Class | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gate Speed | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Chief | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C Falls | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mica Bay | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Boss | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Railman | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Gronk | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bouncing Around | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Eddie | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call You Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Barrel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tikkun Olam | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oil Can Knight | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The White Shadow | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Union Ride | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Stopper | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Showtime | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Smiling to Excess | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Twentyseventrouts | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bayonce | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Nocherylikemychery | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Navy Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegan | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherilinda | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Golden Goddess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Livin’ At the Bu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tammy’s Window | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twirling Apples | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kennedie Sky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Candy Swirls | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peach Time | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Convince | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Aunt Tillie | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Battleground State | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Indypendent Deputy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Phyllis | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Diva | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cholula Lips | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unchain Her Heart | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roses for Laura | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bulletproof One | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | None of Your Biz | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Renella | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acai | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Rachel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tartini | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Soul Beam | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fast as Cass | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sky Logan | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Bay | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Fury | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chosen Vessel | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | River God | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Blanco | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honos Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Herdsman | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.