July 30, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pleasure Trip | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iwishirish | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Circus Music | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleur de Force | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moon Shock | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Running Free | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chancee | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ginger and Jingle | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lt. Columbo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Danzig Partner | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Partner’s Power | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dramatized | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Sign | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Quality | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Gunsandorchids | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Dr Zarada | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lendar | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misses Knight | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Shamrocks | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Initforthelonghaul | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Pier | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Candy Forest | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltimore Beauty | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Meeting | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Credo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smart Royal T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Chelios | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ruble | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ninetyeightoctane | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Southern Kisses | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Surfing U S A | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | To the Victor | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Down With the King | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | True Blue | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Biz Nasty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty Jack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Raggy Rocks | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Babbo Babbo Babbo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blaze a Trail | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alpha Rush | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Hero | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet He Canhula | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Larry Doby | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Group Text | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lawn Dart | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheplaysthefield | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Party Pants | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flippity Flop | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Deserted | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Victoria E | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Shanghai Superfly | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Readyforprimetime | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Noble Authority | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hillsdown | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mind the Gap | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Creative Genius | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bob in Our Midst | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Teton | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tasty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asbury Ave | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Pete | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chinese Takeout | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Hitter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Equus Novus | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vorian | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pure Style | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Anxious | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alwayslookeye | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wheresthebarber | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Street Officer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Another Smarty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ami’s Artie | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vinnyvinvincent | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Flatexcel | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Komrad | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Grand Oasis | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Awe Mun | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shock Treatment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Roanie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brother Tez | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smart Rags | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schliffy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Folk Magic | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Red Seven | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hide a Rose | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Annika Gold | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dean’s Ticket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Robin’s Destiny | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To the Flag | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Only Essa | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Billy No Sabay | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Special Risk | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Geyser | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Keep Talking | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Tune | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Boy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart and Tough | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legacy’s Prince | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Impactful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | King Darius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Infuriated | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | W W Cougar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Baaqeya | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bally Squall | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Calaveras | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pablo’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maid of Iron | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dearest Ella | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sugar B Babsnboots | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cherry Noire | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | New Bolton Billy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.