July 28, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Rosa Star | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prickly Kitten | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charge It Jenn | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andrea’s Pride | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catnip Kitten | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wrote to a Diva | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Player | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boastful Contessa | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Damaska | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caspian Tale | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Florida Rust | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Antonella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Assume Control | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not Regret | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking for More | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aurora Nation | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Strength | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flitabout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sleeping Giant | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day of Reckoning | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zandar | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Cove | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Mint | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardened | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Grace | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Particularity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nacho Mama | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helping Lisa D | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sammie Sunshine | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Chaser | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Possible Dear | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untrue | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Watch | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anabella Queen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Britesideoftheroad | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party Dancer | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yako | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Janet B Doesit All | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Sister Diane | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glovanna | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Live for the Day | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Prince | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buffon | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Congrats This | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Edward He’s Sofine | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leaveittoquay | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cupid’s Alpha Bet | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T’s Southern Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Key Biscayne | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Playing | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carolyn’s Smile | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Run Devil | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Liraz | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music City Wolf | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pechanga (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Reserva | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fujairah | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love Ranger | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Cat | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eights and Aces | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate’s Treasure | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Organic Jenny | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brandt | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Letters | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nightstrings | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Mo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Temple | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solar Warming | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sovereign Warrior | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fade Away | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lennox | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cause for Pardon | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youshouldbesolucky | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come On Venezuela | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tune In | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crazy Magic | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Positive Phil | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Espiritu de Luna | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sound Machine | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Go Gator Girl Go | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Get Khozy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kayla’s Tune | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Indra | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Tereska | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Min It to Win It | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fury Song | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Palms | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wonder Blondy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Itsenough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Regal Romance | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karenina | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Gussie | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Karlita | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oblio’s Wish | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Early Time (FR) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reconsider It | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Blues Songs | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Panda | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiced Rum Punch | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Brass | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reina La Kelsy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Adamant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.