July 28, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Immediate Impact | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cherokee Maiden | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nora’s Joy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tacocat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Gigi | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucia’s Design | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rinse and Repeat | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appreciated | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wound Tight | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Push Through | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadrack | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On Raglan Road | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobou | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Clem | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kylemore | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dueling | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Cabbie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dukes Up | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deal With It Dude | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jamminwithbrandon | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meistermind | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Buckys Pick | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spokane Eagle | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Cobra | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Top Brass | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italiano | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Very Very Stella | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sightforsoreeyes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quality Line | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet River Baines | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reedley | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babael | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mutineer | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saddle Bar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mike Operator | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Five | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortnite Dance | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dinesen | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belden Avenue | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Valor | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Railsplitter | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Governance | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Road | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rip City | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Beast | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Runnings | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive You More | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restoring Dreams | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gorky Park | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Stiff | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Spice | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Woods | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ollie’s Candy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring in the Wind | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Bee to You | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Force (GER) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Smidge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unicorn | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scattering Mink | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Objective | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catch the Eye | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Shirimp | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Me Mo My | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surface | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haughty Girl | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Nightingale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bigly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.