July 27, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Gran Letizia | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Madison Blues | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Queen Roller | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Falina’s Song | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Lapulga | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Gal Lollipop | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cuckoo Kenia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Magalie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Words of Devine | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelic Knugget | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Too Stylish | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snow and Lillylynn | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fiamma Mamma | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rae’sredrocket | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waikiki | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Body High | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trappe Me Later | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Addi Belle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuesday’s Rose | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Denver | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G Q Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Tooyah | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Jak | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stay Again | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Restart | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sheldor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Knockabout | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arch Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moro Drama | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Loose Note | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Enough | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Itsmyluckysummer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rawlins | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Prince | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrivederla | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gemologister | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Overdogs | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Pink Rattler | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heated Element | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Zeus | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Old Timer’s Day | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Revolving Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Archivero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Black Pepper | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shidoshi | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Spa Jazz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happy Hat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Darn That Parker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Southern Cal | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tide of the Desert | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr Dewey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Areyoutalkingtome | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lookin Savvy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Arpinella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sacco and Vanzetti | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Ro | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Nation | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guess First | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowtown Cowboy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gettinintomischief | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Tricks | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gilnockie Strong | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dexter Road | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vita Dolce | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love Nest | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Cyrus the Great | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timmy M. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Break in the Storm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sovereign Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Forever Mo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wingman | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shana Tova | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Piloting | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Genghis | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finalist | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beinfun | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nanahcub | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Who | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brian’s Avenue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Purecrazidude | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Pete | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maserati Man | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Griff | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Drill | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Aghost to the Post | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Colin a Winner | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Malio’s | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brag Dude | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rising Storm | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sweetest Boy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Traffic Express | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stuck With You | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Run Sieger Run | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cofveve | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cat Prado | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Garbar Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strike Play | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Southern Sea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coniston | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Storm Peak | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Added Elegance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Razorback Lady | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Meshak | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Heiressall | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Royal Asscher | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Worth Avenue | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Ain’t Right | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flora Fantasy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophia Is an Angel | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amaluna | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reagan’s Rose | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sean’s Idea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cesco | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tank ‘Em Down | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Causalistic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parlay Pete | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tovar Y Tovar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Handsome Lil Devil | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | El Pillo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Rock the Park | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Mo’s Had Enough | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volcano Bay | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Risk | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Willy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Theo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Last Jet Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.