July 27, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Road to Oz | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Steps to Glory | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | San Marco | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucid Dream | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linda’s Nekia | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leopold | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Glitter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | High Five Cotton | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saint Alfred | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Stifler | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atta Kid | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heat Dome | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Bluff | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ventriloquism | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hide the Ransom | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centerfoldprospect | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devilry | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bickley | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Santa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Destruction | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Measured | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run for James | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | All Out of Aces | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Great Casby | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Incorporate | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Paddy | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poshsky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Epic Drama | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Call Wil | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Agonistic | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Victory Chimes | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Creaky Cricket | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Gatto | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Private Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Concordia’s Way | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vastjesus | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifties Music | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Odds | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Fathoms | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got It | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Contrarity | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye On Berlin | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party Rock | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missworldvenezuela | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just too Much | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty’s Right | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Life | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Driven by Speed | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaylie’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R True Sensation | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eighty Six Mets | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jagger Baby | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Di | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Tandy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.