July 27, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palace Prince | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wrecking Crew | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fredericktown | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizamagician | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Batts | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo Forza | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Longest Night | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takeo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Easy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conte Cavour | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cruel Intention | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lieutenant Dan | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigal Son | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Posterize | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oliver | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Music to My Ears | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hackberry | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Farquhar | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Still in the Game | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volubile | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speakerofthehouse | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ghost Street | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afleeting Life | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | General McCarthy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bandit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Image | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’tteasethetiger | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Town | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calder Vale | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lorelei’s Warrior | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Way Out | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champion Deputy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fait Accompli | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artcrilic | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Perfect Wager | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Bean | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rick’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Policy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fashionably Fast | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clem Labine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boy Howdy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Brownstone | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tristram Speaker | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ishi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Return | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Queen | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mongolian Window | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vibrance | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pacific Strike | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonless Sky | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True To Herself (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invincibella (GB) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Recruiting Ready | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Cicatriz | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cistron | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jalen Journey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Line Judge | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Law | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Strike | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calexman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Antigone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Rose | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Thousand Dreams | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dolci | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Text Dont Call | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Billy K | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Augure | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lakaya | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imprint | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Unwritten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Olive You More | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.