July 26, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Sting | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Brew | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theregoesjojo | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilling Secret | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miriam’s Sky | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin Grey | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Champ | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sure Would Forest | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Classic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deputy of Egbert | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G Prince of Silver | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Retreat | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Decisive Victory | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Howard | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Major | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cardiff Hall | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bens Last Call | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Magic | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila State | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Am Prepared | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Rebel | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toxicologist | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marcus | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Empire | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piccadilly Beau | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seattle Affair | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbounded Spirit | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Extreme | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Fate | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Jimmie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pay for Peace | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Laser | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Vienna | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nature’s Fortune | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Treasure | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Leonard’s Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Absolution | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clear Blue Sky | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Advance | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquer Him | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Battleford | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp’s River | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Prospect | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cauldron | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skipys Legacy | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Viewfinder | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lacustre (GB) | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Follow My Lead | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pipers Warrior | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redoute’s Light | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace of Ekati | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frankie Barone | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucas n’ Lori | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Adios Judith | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Again | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Firehall | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Littleroughjustice | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sailin Street | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shelbourne | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Fuerst | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Je Suis Charlie | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Final Turn | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fire Down Below | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Earthquakedirector | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Radio Nowhere | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.