July 25, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Loaded Joe | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jetovator | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Satanta | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moana Luna | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brace for Impact | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Display | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Melbo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Artie B Good | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | French Getaway | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lifeline | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenjisstorm | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unusually Green | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Hard to Get | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Terrys Tom Cat | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buckstopper Kit | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Van Cortlandt | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Start a Runnin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Offshore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Convoluted | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keepinmypromise | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magically Honored | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Establish Justice | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Melodie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Done Sally | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foggy Bottom | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raneem | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stylishly | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apples Arch | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stylin Ocean | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Mischief | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cellar Door | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Kissed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winter Gold (GB) | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road Rager | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tinnie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Acadia Fleet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hey Sequoia | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten’s Royal | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comes the Dream | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Excavation | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Game | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speed Saver | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gray Admiral | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We’re Just Sayin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Opus Won | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shehastheritestuff | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sedamar | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ms Jones | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot On the Trail | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marjorie E | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh My Oh | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battleground State | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Please Do | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lacey’s Rainbow | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Hero | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lostinthemoment | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zorich | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ohtani | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbroken Star | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Classic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Legend | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do Not Swipe Left | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight in Maui | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Potantico | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.