July 25, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Letthebigshot Roll | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr D’s Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | All Call | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Baroque | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Dart | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | McHenry | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antrim’s Giant | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moonlight Mischief | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Mountain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Copper Mountain | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Chadda | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Attack | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tres Generaciones | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Sidecar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forthwith | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kenai Cool | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lool Beh | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isabelle’s Joy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mora Valley | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enchanted Sunrise | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mining for Pearls | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Bray | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isadora | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Me too Mo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Mandii | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Codetowin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sea of Makebelieve | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kinsella | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tims Hope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pleasant Street | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magician’s Bags | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Guard Your Grill | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Luv Maker | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Moonlight | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Industrialist | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Cry | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fist of Rage | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echoes of Laughter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Ruler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Here Comes Kyle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Jimmy At Last | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Tiger | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Valid Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kholstomer | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Swings | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impeachableoffense | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Military Hop | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Medium | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capernaum | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star of Kodiak | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don Curlione | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canary Islands | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fuelish Behavior | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rachelgotstephen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Question (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antalya | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peace Love Bread | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cowgirl Callie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Mongolia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cassidy Ave | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chainmail | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Americanperfection | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real de Jalpa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Shez Stuck Up | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wishing Belle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fifthatnarraganset | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rathrbluckythngood | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Cora | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Dorothy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jazz Channel | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phoenix Attack | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Mandy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiz Susan Ann | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.