July 24, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eddie Haskell | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tribalist | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Declarationofpeace | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pubilius Syrus | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stubbins | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Desert General | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Tiger | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sergio | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For the Hustle | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Sentiment | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jump the Tracks | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harrovian | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jen Go Unchained | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Plot | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Candy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Free Ricky | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anniversary Sale | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | An American Jet | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brazilian Summer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tim’s Buddy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Sean | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin Rules | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leading Score | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Route Six Six | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pepe Tono | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Secret Indy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Track | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raymundos Secret | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whoa Nessie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trust Fund Kitty | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Truffles | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Stepper | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash for Cass | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Q T | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Cougar Ii H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | For the Top (ARG) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Campaign | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Morse Code | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Original Intent | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Premium Forest | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zestful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Gray | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claudelle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Win | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Stormy D | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cherished | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pammi Dearest | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Our Charm | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winter Gold (GB) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Road Rager | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cellar Door | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Raneem | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.