July 20, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unnamed Soldier | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thorpe d’Oro | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Storm | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Million Heir | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Levi | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fior Cliste (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Ducat | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starship Taxi | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nation U S A | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash On Hand | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boy Scout | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frank Alone | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toms Chuchu | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leaving Home | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Boy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble King | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gem Juan | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Venezuelan Warrior | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Karen’s Cove | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Das Da One | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eclipsed Moon | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brandt | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Pride | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flipshot | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Kayden | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Taylorsinitiation | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Goldenlineof | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Johnnythetireman | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Recruit | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Coalman | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Wade | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jost Do It | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Fonzy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | London Werewolf | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simmard’s Roar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chiseled | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Sublime | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nominal Dollars | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamy Martini | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Mover | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Mac Cool | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Macfadden | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | To Your Health | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mantra | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Mike | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Beach | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gladesman | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parkland Strong | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Year | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sauce On Side | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Illusions | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashing Diamond | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Two | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Mystofales | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Girl | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Christmas Magic | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Horizen | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Discreet Heat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Granny’s Kitten | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Could Be | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Doc Kane | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lewis Vale | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Billy Big (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rompin Reid | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Erasmo’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | At the Ready | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Abbot | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Real Estate Mogul | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Money Machine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wigwam Summer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bad Student | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Completely Bonkers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Manhattan Project | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Forceful One | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Time | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shivaree | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Opportunist | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Mountain Breeze | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kaufy Bean | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Deo Forte | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Don H | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dohko | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purecrazidude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tons of Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Parlay Pete | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | He’s Smokin Hot | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Fast | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fantasizing | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lawyer Drill | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sho Mo the Money | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tangible | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Magic | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzling Prose | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colfear | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Beam | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Aint Tellin | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Passionate Hachi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sea Of Tranquility S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vincero | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Kidding | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye of a Jedi | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Long Chuck | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Crescent | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hy Kodiak Warrior | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Bunyan’s Axe | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Whiskey Moment | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Timing Man | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pescecane | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U. S. Coast Guard | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Diesel | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ready to Mingle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Queretano | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ifeelgood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Drill Down | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.