July 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | On the Turf | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promising Pistol | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Confusion Baby Boy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get There John | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lectric Choke | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Really Felix | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Audacious Quality | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flank Speed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Determined Force | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Daydream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lithographer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Revolutionary Road | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Rule Yourself | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Ride to the Sunset | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’mthetapitnow | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rage Away | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Clay Road | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elementary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Go Mick | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Discretionary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Cannon’s Roar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Where You Was | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Broker’s Reward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | More Better | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friend Me Charlie | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Thoughts | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hide | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carrot Cake | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Popeye’s Oyl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kickstartmyheart | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Old Line Magic | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enyo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Guided | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweetbriar | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dajem | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hanky Panky | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo of Victory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Zig | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Megalomania | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I B Ok | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zippy Jo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Arion | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outofthepark | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start With Yes | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Limbo | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auld Lange Syne | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Kibosh | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slippin Jimmy | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenilworth | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Umightbeanempress | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Park | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heningham | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barbsgray Lion | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcattin | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyche | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jabuticaba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gennie Highway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Virginia Fable | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lila Ruth | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Totally Unexpected | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Gold | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Free to Trump | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Barbecue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Apolodorodedamasco | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Greek God | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Mythos | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brancato | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Southeast | 4.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sound Off | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stroll Smokin | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Can Never Tell | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of Bluegrass | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time Flies By | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spicy Meatball | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loudon’s Song | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Railmaster | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Run | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.