Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 18, 2019

July 18, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thanks Mr. Eidson 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Georgian Road 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Istain Man 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Prince Ricky 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gorky Park 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mysterious Stones 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Juggernaut 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mystery Messenger 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Boru 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Seeking Refuge 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bold Endeavor 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Boyson 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 M Town Gem 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Spectator’s Dream 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mo Dinero 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Whatsittoya 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Torpedo Away 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Punaluu 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Verynsky 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Drill Time 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 All About Trump 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Baby Frankie 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Hard to Come Home 6.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Senora Power 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Lady Sunset 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Billy K 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Text Dont Call 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Miss Fraulein 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Canadian Ginger 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Unwritten 10.00 6 11-1
7 6 Roses for Doug 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Red Nova 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Samurai Charm 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sherilinda 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shallow 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Kazan (IRE) 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Calle Kingpin 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 He Will 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Tequila Joe 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tough It Out 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Full of Luck (CHI) 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Holy Ghost 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Prince of Arabia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sneaking Out 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 5 Hollywood Hills 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 Tiz a Master 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Ruby Bradley 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Violette Szabo 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Takethediamondlane 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Opus Won 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Shining Through 2.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Irish Heatwave 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Carnivorous 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Tap the Wire 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Of Good Report 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Rogallo 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Red Island (IRE) 3.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Harmon 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Originaire (IRE) 6.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Order and Law 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Real Master (FR) 15.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.