July 18, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Georgian Road | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Istain Man | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Prince Ricky | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gorky Park | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mysterious Stones | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Juggernaut | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Mystery Messenger | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Boru | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Seeking Refuge | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Bold Endeavor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Boyson | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | M Town Gem | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Spectator’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Mo Dinero | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Whatsittoya | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Torpedo Away | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Punaluu | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Verynsky | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Drill Time | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | All About Trump | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Baby Frankie | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Hard to Come Home | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Senora Power | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Lady Sunset | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Billy K | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Text Dont Call | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Miss Fraulein | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Canadian Ginger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Unwritten | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Roses for Doug | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Red Nova | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Samurai Charm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Sherilinda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Shallow | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Kazan (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Calle Kingpin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | He Will | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tequila Joe | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tough It Out | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Holy Ghost | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Prince of Arabia | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Sneaking Out | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 5 | Hollywood Hills | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 3 | Tiz a Master | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 4 | Ruby Bradley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Violette Szabo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Takethediamondlane | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Opus Won | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Shining Through | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
11 | 11 | Irish Heatwave | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Carnivorous | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Tap the Wire | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Of Good Report | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Rogallo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Red Island (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Harmon | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Originaire (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Order and Law | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
7 | 7 | Real Master (FR) | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.