July 17, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Love Daddy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What’s In A Kiss (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Time | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millbank Magic | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rexdale | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Eh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Scotty’s Model | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burbank Road | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Copper Fox | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Explosion | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without a Doubt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold Lace | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Westlodge Intrigue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Savvy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Take It Easy | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adabel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One for Nicki | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Ready | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clairessence | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kewanne | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dolly Dagger | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzona | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jazz | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girasol | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate’s Whistle | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Gizmo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Farfalla | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Victorian Lass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Question | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katla’s Fury | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Round’s Mine | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roche’s Point | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Mi Money | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shades | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Bar | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eminent Force | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Sea (FR) | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Rally | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire for Effect | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freitag | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surgical Strike | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Destiny | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florida Won | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Differential | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Dance | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar George | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Legal | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unseen Angels | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Vision | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sing to Run | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Have Feelings | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geocentric | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Candy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light My Path | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capture Your Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.