July 17, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Chesa Charm | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Terp | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royalty for Life | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guiltywithanexcuse | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rock Solid Golfer | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Mops | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zen’s Land | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Babalight | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odlum | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brickyard Kitten | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreaming of Frank | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shan Dian Kia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Senor Louie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Arrivederci | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Princess Livia | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Snow Blossom | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caught Up in You | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crossbow’s Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Turko Treat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetheart Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | One Lucky Step | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forty Fathoms | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Greely Is Back | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Town of Towns | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | R Hot Twenty’s | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Colonel Red | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candy Choo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Igotyoursix | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Generalist | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Gatto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Williamsburg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Epic Drama | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Papacho | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starling’s Law | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Polygram | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fleetfootmac | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swivel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Money Train | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Front | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bannon | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somedreamscometrue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Showmeister | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Devastating Move | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gone Skiing | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Floating Rate | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Water | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiery Flower | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whispering Wanda | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Vow | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Two Salsa | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Little Info | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Say Yes Di Di | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Off Duty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Polished Steel | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zip Van Winkle | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Sarge | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seve | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | To the Hilt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Matter of Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 8 | Monkey Mind | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yes to the Dress | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Architect | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turing Machine | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Kitten | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Purrageous Dyna | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jost Sayin | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12A | 11 | My Little Stormy | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ordinary Love | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alydarius | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Breanna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.