July 17, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Julius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Can Do This | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast as Cass | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Courier | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Magico | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Fashion | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Acker | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Bloc | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morse Code | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | United | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Via Egnatia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Troutman | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ted W | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avanti Bello | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear the Mine | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Game | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Man | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monsajem Accrete | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Fiesta | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Facts Matter | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incensed | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puriano | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Line | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giddymeister | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roaring Rule | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honeyfromthesouth | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hot Legs | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Convince | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreamy Gal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Point | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Silk (AUS) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wandering Patrol | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Storming Lady | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiana’s Love | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moreisbetter | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Peggy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hergame (GB) | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rocky Policy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | G Q Covergirl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Daughter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Ride | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goveness Sheila | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Want One | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arouse N Go | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Goddess | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Circleofcolor | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Going to Shabooms | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Margo With a T | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bella Renella | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Shirlee | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Takes a Village | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Moon | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Square | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassyserb | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liberalism | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Showtime | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Very Boisterous | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Girly Girl | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vegan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Almost a Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Navy Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sherilinda | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Runhappy Oceanside S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King of Speed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manhattan Up | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasikan (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legends of War | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Ice | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nolde | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Rage | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Birthday | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Synthesis | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rijeka (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roger That (GB) | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cool Bobby | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bellerin | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coil Me Home | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Jack | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Van Berg | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cats Blame | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Cornell | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire When Ready | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spokane Eagle | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Metropol | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Satchel Paige | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sidepocket Action | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Give Me the Lute | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flicflac | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Play Money | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Peedie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bud Knight | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Journey | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unusually Handsome | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Elijah | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Claim of Passion | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braggart | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jamming Eddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Parking Here | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.